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Sonterra Entry-Level Homes: Can You Afford One?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-02
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $225,000
105 Quartz DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3345692
Listed at $199,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,743 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186053691/105-Quartz-DR-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000
509 Callisto CT, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #4139905
Listed at $225,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,402 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182793571/509-Callisto-CT-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000
213 Ammonite LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7254672
Listed at $284,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,361 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516749/213-Ammonite-LN-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $286,000 and up
105 Quiet Man DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #2321400
Listed at $290,400, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,358 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186491932/105-Quiet-Man-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 119 homes sold in Sonterra in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 2.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $250,000 (down 5.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $141.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.7%.
- 98 homes for sale now, about 4.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Sonterra today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales is $250,000 across 119 closed transactions over the last six months. At a current mortgage rate of 7.24% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated October 29, 2026, affordability depends heavily on financing terms.
ALEX Intelligence modeled payment scenarios for a typical entry-level buyer using a loan amount of $200,000 and a 30-year fixed loan. For this loan size, the principal and interest payment at the current rate is $1,363 per month. A 3-2-1 buydown can lower that initial payment to $983 in year one, though it costs $9,276 upfront. A 2-1 buydown offers a slightly smaller reduction for $4,716.
The market has shifted since last year. While the median entry-level price is down 5.7% compared to the same six-month window in 2025, homes are taking longer to sell. The median days on market rose to 69 days, up 27.8% from the prior period. This suggests buyers have more time to evaluate options, but financing costs remain a significant factor in determining purchasing power.
The data reflects a specific segment of the Sonterra market focused on affordability rather than luxury or new construction volume. Buyers should consider how buydowns impact their long-term budget versus short-term cash flow needs.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=119
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










