| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Sonterra: Where Prices Were Cut Most in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $225,000
129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3927256
Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188534011/129-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000
201 Old Stagecoach RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1512505
Listed at $238,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190431903/201-Old-Stagecoach-RD-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000
212 Druse LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9090150
Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,887 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176394955/212-Druse-LN-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $286,000 and up
472 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6609843
Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,427 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176541279/472-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 123 homes sold in Sonterra in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 5.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 5.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $143.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 94 homes for sale now, about 4.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Sonterra, nearly nine out of ten homes sold for less than their original asking price over the last six months. A total of 85% of the 123 closed sales in this period ended below the initial list price, compared to 90% in the prior six-month window and 80% a year ago. This shift indicates that while price reductions are common, the market is seeing slightly fewer sellers cutting prices right before closing than in previous periods.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed listing history for all subdivisions within Sonterra to identify where price cuts were most frequent. The data shows that price adjustments are a standard part of the transaction process here. In the broader community, the median home sold for $255,000, which is 2.1% lower than the prior six-month period and 5.4% lower than the same time last year.
The frequency of price cuts varies by specific section. For instance, in Eastwood at Sonterra, 95% of sales were below the original list price, while Cool Water at Sonterra saw 90% of deals close under the asking price. These figures highlight that negotiation is a key factor for buyers in this market, regardless of the specific neighborhood phase they are targeting.
The median days on market has increased to 69 days, up from 49 days a year ago, suggesting that homes are taking longer to sell and sellers may need to be more aggressive with pricing initially. With 130 new listings added in this period against 123 closings, the supply of homes is keeping pace with demand, giving buyers more time to evaluate options before making an offer.
This analysis relies on actual transaction data from the Unlock MLS system, providing a clear view of how pricing strategies are playing out in Sonterra's current market conditions.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing history, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=123
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











