| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Sonterra: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $225,000
129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3927256
Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188534011/129-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000
201 Old Stagecoach RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1512505
Listed at $238,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190431903/201-Old-Stagecoach-RD-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000
212 Druse LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9090150
Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,887 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176394955/212-Druse-LN-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $286,000 and up
472 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6609843
Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,427 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176541279/472-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 123 homes sold in Sonterra in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 5.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 5.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $143.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 91 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Sonterra, homes are closing for 92.8% of their original list price on average, a figure derived from 123 closed sales over the last six months. The median close-to-original list ratio measures how closely final sale prices align with the initial asking price, serving as a direct indicator of negotiation leverage in the market.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics across the community to determine this trend. Over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, the median close-to-original list ratio stood at 0.928. This represents a 1.9% increase compared to the prior six-month period and is 1.9% lower than the same window last year. While buyers are still securing deals below the original list price in 84.6% of transactions, the gap between asking and selling prices has narrowed slightly compared to the previous half-year.
The median sale price for these properties was $255,000, with a median price per square foot of $143. Homes took an average of 69 days on market to close, which is 9.2% faster than the prior period but 40.8% slower than the same time last year. The data suggests that while pricing remains competitive, the pace of negotiation has stabilized compared to the sharper discounts seen in previous months.
The median living area for these sales was 1,745 square feet, up 0.5% from the prior period and 8.7% higher than a year ago. As inventory levels shift, the relationship between list price and final sale price continues to evolve, reflecting current buyer demand and seller expectations in this master-planned community.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=123
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










