| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Sonterra Market Pulse: Prices Dip in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $225,000
129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3927256
Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188534011/129-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000
201 Old Stagecoach RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1512505
Listed at $238,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190431903/201-Old-Stagecoach-RD-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000
212 Druse LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9090150
Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,887 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176394955/212-Druse-LN-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $286,000 and up
472 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6609843
Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,427 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176541279/472-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 123 homes sold in Sonterra in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 5.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 5.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $143.
- Median days on market: 69.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 91 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Median home prices in Sonterra have dipped slightly over the past six months, settling at $255,000 across 123 closed sales. This represents a 2.1% decrease compared to the prior six-month period and a 5.4% drop from the same window last year. Despite the price adjustment, homes are selling faster than they did twelve months ago, with the median days on market rising to 69 days, up 40.8% from the previous year but down 9.2% from the prior six-month period.
Buyers in Sonterra are currently negotiating closer to original list prices, with homes closing at 92.8% of the original asking price on average. This ratio has improved slightly compared to the prior period, though it remains below the 94.6% seen a year ago. The market is also seeing a shift toward larger homes; the median living area grew to 1,745 square feet, an increase of 8.7% compared to last year.
With 91 active listings and 123 closed sales over the trailing six months, Sonterra currently holds 4.27 months of inventory. This level suggests a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. The data reflects a steady correction in pricing while maintaining consistent transaction volume, offering clarity for those navigating this specific community segment.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=123
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










