Sonterra Market Pulse: Prices Dip in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $225,000 129 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3927256 Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188534011/129-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000 201 Old Stagecoach RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1512505 Listed at $238,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,202 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190431903/201-Old-Stagecoach-RD-Jarrell-TX Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $286,000 212 Druse LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #9090150 Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,887 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176394955/212-Druse-LN-Jarrell-TX Upper quartile: $286,000 and up 472 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6609843 Listed at $349,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,427 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176541279/472-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX

Key figures · Sonterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Median home prices in Sonterra have dipped slightly over the past six months, settling at $255,000 across 123 closed sales. This represents a 2.1% decrease compared to the prior six-month period and a 5.4% drop from the same window last year. Despite the price adjustment, homes are selling faster than they did twelve months ago, with the median days on market rising to 69 days, up 40.8% from the previous year but down 9.2% from the prior six-month period. Buyers in Sonterra are currently negotiating closer to original list prices, with homes closing at 92.8% of the original asking price on average. This ratio has improved slightly compared to the prior period, though it remains below the 94.6% seen a year ago. The market is also seeing a shift toward larger homes; the median living area grew to 1,745 square feet, an increase of 8.7% compared to last year. With 91 active listings and 123 closed sales over the trailing six months, Sonterra currently holds 4.27 months of inventory. This level suggests a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. The data reflects a steady correction in pricing while maintaining consistent transaction volume, offering clarity for those navigating this specific community segment. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=123
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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