| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Jarrell: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $225,000
129 Jack Browning DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7988306
Listed at $172,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,360 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185434256/129-Jack-Browning-DR-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $225,000 to $260,000
233 Atwood LOOP, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #4009482
Listed at $235,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,910 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187870503/233-Atwood-LOOP-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000
141 Hatari TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7743918
Listed at $263,990, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,658 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167180878/141-Hatari-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $292,000 and up
412 Josey Wales DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #4953154
Listed at $349,900, 5 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,978 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184620775/412-Josey-Wales-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026
- 53 homes sold in Jarrell in October 2026 (up 1.9% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $230,499 (down 9.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $136.
- Median days on market: 63.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.5%.
- 296 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In October, homes in Jarrell sold for an average of 94.5% of their original asking price, down from 93.8% in September but up slightly compared to the same month last year. This metric, known as the close-to-original list ratio, measures how closely final sale prices align with initial listing prices. A ratio below 100% indicates that buyers negotiated discounts off the original ask, while a ratio above 100% suggests bidding wars drove prices higher.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed 53 closed sales to determine this trend. The median close price was $230,499, representing a 7.4% decrease from September's median of $249,006 and a 9.9% drop compared to October 2025. Despite lower prices, the market showed signs of improved negotiation leverage for sellers relative to last year, as the ratio rose by 1.7 percentage points year-over-year.
Currently, 75.5% of homes sold below their original list price, a significant improvement from 86.7% in September and 88.5% a year ago. This shift suggests that while prices have softened, the gap between asking and selling prices is narrowing compared to recent months. The median days on market also dropped to 63 days, down 23.2% from September, indicating faster turnover despite lower price points.
For buyers and sellers, this ratio provides a clear benchmark for pricing strategy. A stable or rising close-to-original list ratio often signals that inventory is tight enough to support asking prices, whereas a declining ratio suggests increased buyer leverage. In Jarrell, the current data reflects a market where homes are selling quickly, but at prices that reflect recent adjustments from peak levels.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=53
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










