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Jarrell: How Mortgage Rates Affect Buying Power in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $226,000
277 Louisa LN, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7313914
Listed at $195,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187457195/277-Louisa-LN-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000
300 Sleep Hollow, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #1171766
Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180225001/300-Sleep-Hollow-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $292,000
528 Old Western PASS, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7409772
Listed at $270,779, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,609 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185652847/528-Old-Western-PASS-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $292,000 and up
144 Baby Calf Roping RD, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #3128268
Listed at $293,400, 6 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,349 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521994/144-Baby-Calf-Roping-RD-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Jarrell · October 2026
- 54 homes sold in Jarrell in October 2026 (up 1.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $239,995 (down 7.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $141.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 329 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.24% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Jarrell today? With the median home price at $239,995 across 54 closed sales in October, the monthly principal and interest payment on a standard loan comes to $1,308. This figure is derived from ALEX Intelligence estimates based on current market rates and does not constitute an appraisal.
When rates are this high, many buyers turn to buydowns to reduce their initial payments. A 3-2-1 buydown lowers the rate to 4.24% in year one, 5.24% in year two, and 6.24% in year three. For a home at the median price, this strategy costs $8,892 upfront but saves buyers $365 per month in the first year alone. A shorter 2-1 buydown costs $4,512 and reduces the rate to 5.24% for the first two years, saving $249 monthly in year one.
These calculations assume a standard 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.24% rate. The cost of these buydowns represents about 3.71% of the median sale price for the 3-2-1 option and 1.88% for the 2-1 option. Buyers must weigh this upfront cost against the immediate reduction in monthly housing expenses.
The market data shows that while prices have dipped 6.4% from September, the impact of financing costs remains a primary factor in affordability. Understanding these scenarios helps buyers determine if a buydown is the right tool for their specific financial situation in Jarrell's current market.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=54; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of 2026-10-29
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










