Wolf Ranch Market Heat Score: High Activity, Slower Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-18
Key figures · Wolf Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 138 homes sold in Wolf Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 39.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $590,000 (down 1.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $221.
- Median days on market: 88.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.3%.
- 77 homes for sale now, about 3.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a composite market heat score mean for Wolf Ranch buyers and sellers right now? ALEX Intelligence calculated this index by weighing four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The result reflects a neighborhood with robust activity but cooling speed compared to its recent past.
Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, Wolf Ranch saw 138 closed sales with a median price of $590,000. While this represents a 1.7% drop from the same period last year, the market remains active with 77 homes currently active and a months-of-inventory reading of 3.28. The median days on market has stretched to 88 days, up 27.5% from the prior year, indicating that homes are taking longer to sell even as prices stabilize near $221 per square foot.
The heat score incorporates the fact that 92% of sales closed below original list prices, a shift from the 86% seen last year. This suggests buyers have gained leverage in negotiations, though the close-to-list ratio improved slightly to 92.3% compared to the prior period. The index weights these factors to show a market that is neither a clear buyer's nor seller's market but one where patience and realistic pricing are essential for success.
ALEX Intelligence estimates this score based on the weighted performance of local sales data, not an appraisal of individual property value. For Wolf Ranch, the current composite score signals a balanced environment where supply is sufficient to give buyers options, yet demand remains steady enough to keep prices from falling further.
Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected].
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=138 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




