Morningstar Inventory Signals a Shift to Buyer Territory

Deal of the Week

152 MOUNTAIN VALLEY ST, Georgetown TX 78628
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $303,000 152 MOUNTAIN VALLEY ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6389158 Listed at $264,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,246 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185823388/152-MOUNTAIN-VALLEY-ST-Georgetown-TX Lower-middle quartile: $303,000 to $348,000 120 Tucana ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #4344634 Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,599 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521387/120-Tucana-ST-Georgetown-TX Upper-middle quartile: $348,000 to $407,000 361 Bright Star LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1774917 Listed at $399,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,813 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188781781/361-Bright-Star-LN-Georgetown-TX Upper quartile: $407,000 and up 401 Millard ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3527910 Listed at $694,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,045 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524774/401-Millard-ST-Georgetown-TX

Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

How many months of homes are available for sale in Morningstar? The answer is nearly seven, a figure that signals a distinct shift in market power. ALEX Intelligence calculates the Months of Inventory by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings over the analysis window. With 36 homes currently active and 31 sales closing over the last six months, the result is 6.97 months of inventory. In real estate analytics, a market is generally considered balanced at around four to five months. Anything above that threshold typically indicates a buyer's market, where supply exceeds demand. This elevated inventory level explains why the median close price has dropped 7.8% compared to the prior six-month period, settling at $332,000 across 31 closed sales. The data also reveals a faster-moving market in terms of time on sale. The median days on market fell by 63.2% compared to the previous period, dropping to 35 days, even as prices softened. This suggests that while there are more homes available, those priced correctly are still selling relatively quickly. However, with nearly seven months of stock, buyers have significantly more negotiating leverage than they did in the prior window. This classification is based strictly on supply and demand metrics derived from Unlock MLS data. It does not predict future price movements but reflects the current balance between active listings and sales velocity. For sellers, this environment requires competitive pricing to stand out among the 36 available properties. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=31 closed sales
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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