| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Morningstar Inventory Signals a Shift to Buyer Territory
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $303,000
152 MOUNTAIN VALLEY ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6389158
Listed at $264,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,246 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185823388/152-MOUNTAIN-VALLEY-ST-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $303,000 to $348,000
120 Tucana ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #4344634
Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,599 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521387/120-Tucana-ST-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $348,000 to $407,000
361 Bright Star LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1774917
Listed at $399,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,813 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188781781/361-Bright-Star-LN-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $407,000 and up
401 Millard ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3527910
Listed at $694,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,045 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524774/401-Millard-ST-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 31 homes sold in Morningstar in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 52.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $332,000 (down 7.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $181.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 36 homes for sale now, about 7.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of homes are available for sale in Morningstar? The answer is nearly seven, a figure that signals a distinct shift in market power. ALEX Intelligence calculates the Months of Inventory by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings over the analysis window. With 36 homes currently active and 31 sales closing over the last six months, the result is 6.97 months of inventory.
In real estate analytics, a market is generally considered balanced at around four to five months. Anything above that threshold typically indicates a buyer's market, where supply exceeds demand. This elevated inventory level explains why the median close price has dropped 7.8% compared to the prior six-month period, settling at $332,000 across 31 closed sales.
The data also reveals a faster-moving market in terms of time on sale. The median days on market fell by 63.2% compared to the previous period, dropping to 35 days, even as prices softened. This suggests that while there are more homes available, those priced correctly are still selling relatively quickly. However, with nearly seven months of stock, buyers have significantly more negotiating leverage than they did in the prior window.
This classification is based strictly on supply and demand metrics derived from Unlock MLS data. It does not predict future price movements but reflects the current balance between active listings and sales velocity. For sellers, this environment requires competitive pricing to stand out among the 36 available properties.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=31 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










