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Morningstar: How List Prices Compare to Sells in Oct
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-02
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $303,000
152 MOUNTAIN VALLEY ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6389158
Listed at $264,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,246 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185823388/152-MOUNTAIN-VALLEY-ST-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $303,000 to $348,000
120 Tucana ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #4344634
Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,599 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521387/120-Tucana-ST-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $348,000 to $407,000
361 Bright Star LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1774917
Listed at $399,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,813 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188781781/361-Bright-Star-LN-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $407,000 and up
401 Millard ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3527910
Listed at $694,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,045 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524774/401-Millard-ST-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 31 homes sold in Morningstar in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 52.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $332,000 (down 7.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $181.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 37 homes for sale now, about 7.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Morningstar, homes are closing at 95.6% of their original list price on average across 31 closed sales in the rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026. This median close-to-original list ratio represents a 3.4 percentage point increase compared to the prior six-month period and a 2.7 percentage point improvement over the same window last year.
The ALEX Intelligence analysis of price negotiation trends shows that while 93.5% of these homes sold below their original asking price, the gap between list and sale has narrowed significantly. The median close-to-original list ratio rose from 92.5% in the prior six months to 95.6% currently, indicating that sellers are retaining more of their initial price expectations than they did earlier this year.
Median closing prices for these 31 homes settled at $332,000, down 7.8% from the prior six-month period but only 7.3% below the same window last year. The median price per square foot also declined slightly to $181, a 1.1% drop from the prior period and a 10.0% decrease compared to last year.
Homes are selling faster now as well, with the median days on market dropping to 35 days, a 63.2% improvement over the prior six months and a 20.5% reduction compared to the same period last year. This suggests that while prices have softened slightly, the market is becoming more efficient at reaching agreement between buyers and sellers.
The data reflects a market where price reductions are common but less severe than before, with the median home selling for just under 96 cents on the dollar.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=31
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










