| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Morningstar Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $310,000
205 Northview LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1875482
Listed at $299,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,996 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187962752/205-Northview-LN-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $310,000 to $350,000
148 Mountain Valley ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5651209
Listed at $315,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,930 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186503230/148-Mountain-Valley-ST-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $409,000
1009 Bright Star CV, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3484708
Listed at $383,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,584 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183427185/1009-Bright-Star-CV-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $409,000 and up
332 Stellar Wind DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5386171
Listed at $459,950, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,835 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183443628/332-Stellar-Wind-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 34 homes sold in Morningstar in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 49.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $342,500 (down 3.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $181.
- Median days on market: 38.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 36 homes for sale now, about 6.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the market in Morningstar shifting in favor of buyers? With 6.35 months of inventory available across 36 active listings, the answer is leaning yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current homes at the current pace of 34 closed sales over the last six months. Generally, anything above six months suggests a buyer's market, while below four favors sellers.
Over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, median home prices settled at $342,500, down 4.9% from the prior six-month window and 3.5% lower than the same period last year. This price softening coincides with a significant drop in days on market; homes are now selling in 38 days compared to 99 days previously.
ALEX Intelligence analyzes this inventory level alongside pricing trends to determine market balance. While the supply is ample for buyers to negotiate, the rapid turnover of 38 days indicates that well-priced homes still move quickly. The median price per square foot also declined by 5.7% compared to the prior period, settling at $181.
For sellers, the data suggests a need for realistic pricing strategies to compete in this environment where 88.2% of sales closed below original list prices. Buyers currently have more options and leverage, but the market remains active with steady transaction volume.
The classification gauge indicates a buyer's market condition based on the current inventory-to-sales ratio. This assessment is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on historical activity patterns and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=34 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










