| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Morningstar Market Heat Score: What the Data Shows
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $310,000
205 Northview LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1875482
Listed at $299,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,996 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187962752/205-Northview-LN-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $310,000 to $350,000
148 Mountain Valley ST, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5651209
Listed at $315,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,930 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186503230/148-Mountain-Valley-ST-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $409,000
1009 Bright Star CV, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #3484708
Listed at $383,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,584 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183427185/1009-Bright-Star-CV-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $409,000 and up
332 Stellar Wind DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5386171
Listed at $459,950, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,835 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183443628/332-Stellar-Wind-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Morningstar · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 34 homes sold in Morningstar in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 49.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $342,500 (down 3.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $181.
- Median days on market: 38.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 38 homes for sale now, about 6.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Morningstar market cooling down? The latest data suggests a shift toward balance after a period of intense activity. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score of 52 out of 100 for this community. This composite index weighs days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions to gauge current conditions.
The score reflects a distinct change from the prior six-month period. Median days on market dropped significantly by 61.6% compared to the previous window, falling to 38 days, while the median close-to-original list ratio improved by 5.1% to 95.4%. However, this speed comes alongside a cooling in price momentum. The median closed price fell 4.9% from the prior period and is down 3.5% compared to the same window last year.
Current inventory stands at 6.71 months of supply, indicating a transition toward a more balanced environment where buyers have more options than sellers. While 88.2% of homes sold below their original list price, the gap between asking and selling prices has narrowed. With a median sale price of $342,500 across 34 closed sales, the market is showing signs of stabilization rather than rapid appreciation or decline.
ALEX Intelligence estimates this heat score based on the weighted combination of these key performance indicators to provide a clear snapshot of local demand and supply dynamics. The data reflects real-time activity without projecting future trends.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=34 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










