| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Berry Creek Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $389,000
1809 Fannie RD, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #2606980
Listed at $339,127, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,192 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187698316/1809-Fannie-RD-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $389,000 to $450,000
537 Redding WAY, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #4157734
Listed at $397,134, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,627 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 24% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187970584/537-Redding-WAY-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $450,000 to $625,000
30013 Edgewood DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #5066365
Listed at $469,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,620 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188529876/30013-Edgewood-DR-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $625,000 and up
30108 Torrey Pines CIR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #8840536
Listed at $950,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,032 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184118441/30108-Torrey-Pines-CIR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Berry Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 57 homes sold in Berry Creek in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 5.0% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $451,000 (down 3.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $198.
- Median days on market: 29.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.8%.
- 38 homes for sale now, about 4.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Berry Creek right now? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales over the last six months is $451,000. At a current mortgage rate of 7.11%, a buyer would face a monthly principal and interest payment of $2,427 based on the loan amount of $360,800 used in the affordability model.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the affordability index for this segment using the median sale price and current financing costs. The data shows that while prices have risen 9.3% compared to the prior six-month period, they remain 3.6% below the same window last year. This volatility highlights the importance of understanding how rate fluctuations impact monthly payments for first-time buyers or those moving up to entry-level inventory.
The median home size in this price tier is 2,627 square feet, with a median price per square foot of $198.17. Buyers should note that 73.7% of these homes sold below their original list price, suggesting room for negotiation even at the lower end of the market. With 57 closed sales in the rolling six-month window, this segment represents a significant portion of activity in Berry Creek.
For those considering financing options, a 3-2-1 buydown could reduce the first-year rate to 4.11%, saving $682 per month on principal and interest, though it would cost approximately $16,632 upfront. A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction for about half that cost. These tools can improve cash flow during the initial years of ownership, making entry-level homeownership more accessible in a higher-rate environment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=57
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










