| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Berry Creek List-to-Sale Ratios Explain Price Reality
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $385,000
1917 Fannie RD, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #2885183
Listed at $357,999, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,376 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186862083/1917-Fannie-RD-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $385,000 to $440,000
30003 OAKLAND HILLS DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #2491328
Listed at $399,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,576 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184909167/30003-OAKLAND-HILLS-DR-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $440,000 to $604,000
117 Brentwood DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #1031926
Listed at $498,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,744 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182903861/117-Brentwood-DR-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $604,000 and up
430 Champions DR, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #2677055
Listed at $699,999, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,382 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185916113/430-Champions-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Berry Creek · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 59 homes sold in Berry Creek in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 7.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $478,000 (up 4.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $199.
- Median days on market: 27.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.5%.
- 33 homes for sale now, about 3.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Berry Creek, homes are selling for less than their original asking price more often than not. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between list prices and final sale prices to explain this dynamic. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the median home sold for $478,000 across 59 closed sales. The median close-to-original-list ratio was 0.965, meaning buyers paid 96.5% of the original list price on average.
This represents a shift from the prior six-month period, where the ratio was 0.932. The data shows that while prices have risen, the gap between asking and selling has narrowed slightly compared to earlier in the year. Currently, 72.9% of closed sales fell below the original list price, down from 91.1% in the prior period. This indicates a market where negotiation is still common but perhaps less aggressive than before.
The median price per square foot rose to $199, up 2.1% from the prior period and 0.5% from the same window last year. Homes are also selling faster, with median days on market dropping to 27 days, a 73.3% improvement over the prior six months. These figures suggest that while buyers still negotiate down from list price, the market is becoming more efficient at pricing homes correctly from the start.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=59
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










