| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Carriage Hills: How Rates Shape Buying Power This Month
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower-middle quartile: $319,000 to $361,000
1901 Carriage Hills TRL, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9817765
Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,309 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188175207/1901-Carriage-Hills-TRL-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $361,000 to $390,000
1635 Abbey LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #9322155
Listed at $387,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,886 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 37% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189294312/1635-Abbey-LN-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $390,000 and up
2100 Coachlamp DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7368492
Listed at $419,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,760 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179466020/2100-Coachlamp-DR-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Carriage Hills · rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 58 homes sold in Carriage Hills in the 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 20.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $363,500 (down 2.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 2.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Carriage Hills today? With the median closed price at $363,500 across 58 sales over the trailing 12 months ending September 30, 2026, monthly payments are sensitive to every basis point. A standard 30-year fixed loan with a down payment on that median price yields a principal-and-interest payment of $1,998 at the current rate.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown structures to show how they shift affordability. A 3/2/1 buydown reduces the note rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $555 compared to the base rate; it costs $13,548 total (3.73% of the median price). A 2/1 buydown brings the rate to 5.32% in year one for a $380 monthly savings and a total cost of $6,888 (1.89% of the median price). These are ALEX Intelligence estimates based on the median sale price and current rates; they are not appraisals.
The market context matters: median days on market rose 2.9% versus the prior period to 35 days, while the median close-to-original list ratio dipped 0.5% to 95.6%. Median price per square foot is up 3.8% year over year at $191, even as the median living area shrank 11% compared to the prior period. Buyers weighing a buydown should compare the upfront cost against their monthly cash flow needs and how long they plan to hold the home.
For reference, the regional benchmark shows a median price of $405,000 with 56 days on market, while Williamson County sits at $390,000 and 56 days on market. All figures reflect Unlock MLS data through September 30, 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales (rolling 12 months ending Sep 30, 2026), n=58; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










