| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Buttercup Creek: How List Prices Compare to Sells
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $395,000
903 Burnt Oak CT, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #3542606
Listed at $289,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,245 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187712621/903-Burnt-Oak-CT-Cedar-Park-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $395,000 to $495,000
1213 ELM FOREST DR, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7460293
Listed at $439,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,576 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189523876/1213-ELM-FOREST-DR-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $560,000 and up
1822 Nelson Ranch LOOP, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #2548486
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,956 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187972140/1822-Nelson-Ranch-LOOP-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Buttercup Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 46 homes sold in Buttercup Creek in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 16.4% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $479,000 (down 1.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $214.
- Median days on market: 22.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.8%.
- 16 homes for sale now, about 2.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How often do homes in Buttercup Creek sell for what they were originally listed? In the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, the median close-to-original list ratio reached 97% across 46 closed sales. This metric compares the final sale price to the first listing price a home received on the market.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing behavior of these transactions to show how negotiation outcomes have shifted. The median close-to-original list ratio improved by 3.1 percentage points compared to the prior six-month period, moving from 94% to 97%. This indicates that sellers are retaining a larger share of their original asking price than they did earlier in the year.
The data also shows that 69.6% of homes sold below their original list price during this window, down from 85.4% in the previous period. While the median sale price dipped slightly by 3.3% to $479,000 compared to the prior six months, the ability to close near the initial list price has strengthened. This trend suggests a market where pricing strategies are becoming more accurate or where buyer competition is stabilizing relative to supply.
The analysis covers 46 closed sales with a median living area of 2,409 square feet. The median price per square foot rose 2.4% to $214 during this period, reflecting the tighter gap between list and sale prices despite the slight decline in overall median value.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=46
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









