Buttercup Creek: Six-Month Market Recap and Outlook

Buttercup Creek saw a median sales price of $515,000 across 46 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This represents a 6% increase from the prior period and a 0.5% rise compared to the same window last year. The market moved significantly faster as well, with homes selling in a median of 16 days, down 71.9% from the previous six months and 23.8% lower than a year ago. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics to show that sellers are recovering more of their asking price. The median close-to-original list ratio reached 0.977, up 5.1% from the prior period and 1.2% higher than last year. Fewer homes sold below original list prices, with only 67.4% of transactions falling short, a 27.9% drop in that share compared to the previous six months. New supply remained steady with 52 new listings entering the market during this window, while 20 homes remain active today. This activity level supports a 2.61-month supply of inventory, indicating a balanced market where demand is keeping pace with available stock. The median home size sold was 2,417 square feet, up 6.4% from the prior period. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32%, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 22, 2026. At this rate, a buyer purchasing a median-priced home would face a principal and interest payment of $2,830 monthly based on the loan amount of $412,000. A 3-2-1 buydown could reduce that initial payment to $2,044 in the first year for a total cost of $19,164, or roughly 3.72% of the purchase price. Looking ahead, the data suggests continued momentum as inventory remains tight and sales velocity accelerates. The market has shifted from a slower pace to one where properties are moving quickly at stable prices. Buyers should be prepared for competitive conditions, while sellers can expect strong offers relative to their original listing expectations. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog