| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Brushy Creek Market Heat Score Rises with Price Surge
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $420,000
8302 Racine TRL, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #2918868
Listed at $369,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,515 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189198525/8302-Racine-TRL-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $420,000 to $588,000
15814 Rustic LN, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #6929766
Listed at $545,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,451 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188713313/15814-Rustic-LN-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $588,000 to $762,000
520 Acadia BND, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #8451676
Listed at $699,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,210 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186626510/520-Acadia-BND-Cedar-Park-TX
Upper quartile: $762,000 and up
705 S Frontier LN, Cedar Park TX 78613 · MLS #7875591
Listed at $766,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,279 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172847405/705-S-Frontier-LN-Cedar-Park-TX
Key figures · Brushy Creek · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 73 homes sold in Brushy Creek in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 10.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $665,000 (up 3.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $234.
- Median days on market: 21.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.0%.
- 35 homes for sale now, about 2.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a rising market heat score mean for Brushy Creek? ALEX Intelligence calculated this composite index by weighing four key market indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The result suggests a market that is significantly hotter than the regional average but cooling slightly from its peak speed earlier in the year.
Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, Brushy Creek saw 73 closed sales with a median price of $665,000. This represents a 17.7% increase compared to the prior six-month period and a 3.1% rise year-over-year. The market is moving faster than last year, with homes spending a median of 21 days on the market, up from 14 days in the previous half but still below the 20-day mark seen a year ago.
Inventory remains tight at 2.88 months, indicating a seller-favorable environment where demand outpaces supply. However, buyer leverage is shifting; 86.3% of homes sold below their original list price, a notable increase from the prior period as sellers adjust to current conditions. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.96, showing that while offers are competitive, they rarely exceed asking prices in this segment.
The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score aggregates these dynamics into a single gauge from 0 to 100. In Brushy Creek, the score reflects strong price growth and low inventory, tempered by a slight increase in time on market and a higher rate of price concessions. This data-driven view helps buyers and sellers navigate a complex landscape without relying on speculation or outdated trends.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=73
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










