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Williamson County Market Heat Score for October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $325,000
218 Juniper ST, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #3058916
Listed at $199,950, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,187 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186961792/218-Juniper-ST-Georgetown-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $325,000 to $405,000
1921 Fannie RD, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #9340645
Listed at $344,019, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,295 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187994865/1921-Fannie-RD-Georgetown-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $405,000 to $550,000
564 Gus LOOP, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #5366619
Listed at $439,990, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 2,875 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184324105/564-Gus-LOOP-Georgetown-TX
Upper quartile: $550,000 and up
1109 Ellensburg DR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #3420623
Listed at $569,900, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3,096 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1170149841/1109-Ellensburg-DR-Georgetown-TX
Key figures · Williamson County · October 2026
- 717 homes sold in Williamson County in October 2026 (down 12.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $375,000 (down 9.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $190.
- Median days on market: 54.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.8%.
- 4,084 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median home price of $375,000 with 54 days on market mean for Williamson County buyers and sellers right now? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score model combines inventory levels, sale-to-list ratios, and time on market to gauge current conditions. In October 2026, the composite score reflects a cooling trend compared to the previous month and last year.
The county recorded 717 closed sales, down 15.2% from September and 12.3% lower than October 2025. Median price fell 9.4% year-over-year to $375,000, while the median days on market dropped slightly to 54 days. Months of inventory rose to 4.26, indicating a shift toward more balanced conditions as active listings reached 4,084 homes. The share of homes selling below original list price stood at 83.3%, with the median close-to-original-list ratio at 93.8%.
ALEX Intelligence applied a weighted composite index to these metrics, assigning weights to inventory pressure, pricing flexibility, and velocity. The resulting score suggests a market where buyers have more leverage than in previous years, though activity remains robust compared to historical lows. With 244 new construction sales included in the total, the supply of newer homes continues to influence overall dynamics.
This analysis is based on Unlock MLS data for October 2026 and represents an estimate, not an appraisal. The model weights reflect current market behavior rather than fixed historical norms.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=717
Cover photo: Downtown Taylor by Renelibrary, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










