Williamson County: Top Subdivisions with Price Cuts in Q3

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 109 Charmstone LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6908093 · Listed by Keller Williams - Lake Travis. ALEX valuation $1,112,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 109 Charmstone LN, Georgetown TX 78628 · MLS #6908093 Listed at $925,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,877 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179936909/109-Charmstone-LN-Georgetown-TX 2. 15616 Prestancia DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8641254 Listed at $640,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,162 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517292/15616-Prestancia-DR-Austin-TX 3. 10602 Double Tree CV, Austin TX 78750 · MLS #1583155 Listed at $335,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,676 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 21% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184708305/10602-Double-Tree-CV-Austin-TX 4. 540 Gus LOOP, Georgetown TX 78626 · MLS #1085451 Listed at $389,990, 5 bed, 4 bath, 2,650 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 28% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519310/540-Gus-LOOP-Georgetown-TX 5. 10602 W Turnbull LOOP # 25, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8025702 Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,977 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183233163/10602-W-Turnbull-LOOP-25-Austin-TX

In Williamson County, nearly four out of five homes sold for less than their original asking price over the last six months. A closer look at subdivision data reveals where sellers adjusted prices most frequently to move inventory. ALEX Intelligence analyzed listing history across 12 subdivisions with at least five sales each in the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. The analysis identifies which communities saw the highest share of price reductions and the average magnitude of those cuts. Firefly Pointe in Hutto led the market with 96% of its listings experiencing a price cut before closing. This was followed by Cotton Brook in Hutto at 100%, where every single listing reduced its price, and Wolf Ranch in Georgetown at 92%. Santa Rita Ranch in Liberty Hill also saw 91% of listings reduced. These figures indicate that while the county median closed-to-original list ratio improved to 95.5%, specific neighborhoods required significant pricing adjustments to close deals. The data shows a clear trend where price reductions were common across entry-level and mid-range communities. In subdivisions like Flora and Woodfield Preserve, 92% of listings saw cuts. Conversely, Eastern Wells had the lowest reduction rate at 82%. This variation suggests that local inventory dynamics and pricing strategies differ significantly even within the same county. The median closed price for Williamson County rose 0.1% compared to the prior six-month period, reaching $408,000 across 5,969 sales. However, the prevalence of price cuts highlights the importance of strategic listing prices in a market where buyers have more leverage than in previous years. ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951