| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Blackhawk: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-13
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $475,000
20324 Clare Island BND, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4688487
Listed at $429,995, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,508 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184024316/20324-Clare-Island-BND-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $547,000
19708 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #5024328
Listed at $518,200, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,817 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186735621/19708-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $547,000 to $619,000
19616 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #2347208
Listed at $569,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,976 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185795490/19616-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $619,000 and up
19808 Denison DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #5463010
Listed at $699,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,537 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187262791/19808-Denison-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 73 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 6.4% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $539,990 (up 1.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $189.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 84 homes for sale now, about 6.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Blackhawk market tipping in favor of buyers? With 6.9 months of inventory on hand as of late October, the answer leans yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing active inventory by the average monthly closings over the trailing six-month period.
In a balanced market, you typically see around 5 to 6 months of supply. Blackhawk has now exceeded that threshold, moving into territory where buyers have more negotiating power and less urgency to compete. This shift is reflected in the median days on market, which dropped significantly by 49.5% compared to the prior six-month period, settling at 52 days. While homes are selling faster than they did earlier this year, the inventory buildup suggests a cooling in demand relative to supply.
Prices have also adjusted slightly downward. The median closed price of $539,990 is down 0.8% from the prior six-month window and up 1.8% compared to the same period last year. Notably, 84.9% of homes sold below their original list price, a figure that has improved slightly for sellers compared to the prior period but remains high relative to historical norms.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as a buyer's market based on the inventory gauge. For sellers, this means pricing must be precise from day one, as the window to correct an overpriced listing is narrowing. Buyers, conversely, can expect more time to evaluate options and potentially negotiate concessions in a landscape where 6.9 months of stock sits waiting for new owners.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=73 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










