| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Blackhawk: Where Prices Were Cut Most in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-12
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $475,000
20324 Clare Island BND, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4688487
Listed at $429,995, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,508 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184024316/20324-Clare-Island-BND-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $547,000
19708 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #5024328
Listed at $518,200, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,817 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186735621/19708-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $547,000 to $619,000
19616 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #2347208
Listed at $569,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,976 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185795490/19616-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $619,000 and up
19808 Denison DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #5463010
Listed at $699,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,537 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187262791/19808-Denison-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 73 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 6.4% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $539,990 (up 1.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $189.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 84 homes for sale now, about 6.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Blackhawk, price reductions are the norm rather than the exception. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, 85% of homes sold for less than their original list price. This trend is driven by a shift in buyer leverage and inventory levels that have prompted sellers to adjust expectations significantly.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed listing history to identify subdivisions with the most frequent price cuts. In Blackhawk, the median reduction size was substantial, reflecting a market where initial pricing often exceeded what buyers were willing to pay at closing. The data shows that while the median sale price held relatively steady at $539,990 across 73 closed sales, the path to that final number involved negotiation and adjustment for the vast majority of transactions.
The share of homes selling below original list rose slightly compared to the prior six-month period, indicating that sellers are increasingly responsive to market conditions. With 84 active listings currently on the market, the supply gap continues to influence pricing strategies. Buyers in this area should expect to see price reductions as a standard part of the process, with median cuts often reaching into the tens of thousands of dollars.
This data-driven view highlights that while prices remain robust, the final sale price is frequently determined by how aggressively sellers adjust their asking prices to meet current demand. The market is functioning through these adjustments rather than through sudden spikes or crashes.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS listing and closed-sale data, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=73 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











