Blackhawk: How List Prices Compare to Sells in Rolling Six Months

How close do homes in Blackhawk sell to their original asking price? In the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, the median home sold for $530,000, which represents 96% of the original list price across 59 closed sales. This figure reflects the final negotiated amount after seller concessions were netted out. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original listing prices and final sale prices to determine the list-to-sale ratio. The current median close-to-original-list ratio stands at 0.96, up from 0.923 in the prior six-month period. This indicates that homes are closing closer to their initial asking price compared to the previous half-year, though they still sell slightly below the original list on average. The data shows that 88.1% of these transactions closed below the original list price. While this percentage is high, the gap between the list and sale price has narrowed compared to the prior period, where only 92.3% of the list price was achieved. The median price per square foot for these sales was $185.18, down slightly from $185.98 in the prior window. This trend suggests a shift in negotiation dynamics within Blackhawk. Buyers and sellers are finding agreement closer to the initial valuation than before, even as the overall median price dipped 2.4% compared to the previous six months. The list-to-sale ratio remains a key indicator of market balance, showing that while few homes sell above list, the discount required to close is shrinking. The analysis covers single-family homes with prices net of seller-paid concessions. This metric helps distinguish between nominal price changes and actual value realized at closing. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog