| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Blackhawk Market Heat Score: A Balanced Signal in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $475,000
19832 Harrier Flight TRL, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4015879
Listed at $359,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,966 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182544672/19832-Harrier-Flight-TRL-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $544,000
3817 HERON ROOST PASS, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #1314676
Listed at $509,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,140 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183512752/3817-HERON-ROOST-PASS-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $544,000 to $621,000
19517 Jesse JCT, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6428883
Listed at $598,998, 5 bed, 5 bath, 3,229 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185266860/19517-Jesse-JCT-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $621,000 and up
20608 Carries Ranch RD, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #7142489
Listed at $650,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,866 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178394106/20608-Carries-Ranch-RD-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 74 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $544,995 (up 2.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.1%.
- 83 homes for sale now, about 6.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Blackhawk heating up or cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score synthesizes four key indicators—days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions—to answer this for the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026.
The composite score indicates a balanced market environment. While median days on market dropped significantly by 47.7% compared to the prior six-month period, falling from 88 days to 46 days, the market has not swung into a seller's frenzy. This speed is accompanied by a median close-to-original list ratio of 96.1%, which improved by 3.2% over the prior period but remains below the 100% mark where sellers typically receive full asking price.
Inventory levels further define this balance, with 6.73 months of supply currently available. This figure sits squarely in the neutral zone, suggesting neither a shortage driving rapid price spikes nor a surplus forcing steep discounts. Indeed, 85.1% of homes sold below their original list price, a share that has only marginally decreased by 0.1% from the prior period.
Prices remain resilient despite this balance. The median closed price rose to $544,995, marking a 2.2% increase compared to the same window last year. This stability suggests that while buyers have more time to decide than in previous months, demand for well-priced homes in Blackhawk remains steady. The ALEX Intelligence estimate of this heat score reflects a market where negotiation is possible but value retention is strong.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=74
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










