Blackhawk Market Heat Score: A Balanced Signal in October

Deal of the Week

19832 Harrier Flight TRL, Pflugerville TX 78660
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $475,000 19832 Harrier Flight TRL, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4015879 Listed at $359,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,966 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182544672/19832-Harrier-Flight-TRL-Pflugerville-TX Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $544,000 3817 HERON ROOST PASS, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #1314676 Listed at $509,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,140 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183512752/3817-HERON-ROOST-PASS-Pflugerville-TX Upper-middle quartile: $544,000 to $621,000 19517 Jesse JCT, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6428883 Listed at $598,998, 5 bed, 5 bath, 3,229 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185266860/19517-Jesse-JCT-Pflugerville-TX Upper quartile: $621,000 and up 20608 Carries Ranch RD, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #7142489 Listed at $650,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,866 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178394106/20608-Carries-Ranch-RD-Pflugerville-TX

Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is Blackhawk heating up or cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score synthesizes four key indicators—days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions—to answer this for the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. The composite score indicates a balanced market environment. While median days on market dropped significantly by 47.7% compared to the prior six-month period, falling from 88 days to 46 days, the market has not swung into a seller's frenzy. This speed is accompanied by a median close-to-original list ratio of 96.1%, which improved by 3.2% over the prior period but remains below the 100% mark where sellers typically receive full asking price. Inventory levels further define this balance, with 6.73 months of supply currently available. This figure sits squarely in the neutral zone, suggesting neither a shortage driving rapid price spikes nor a surplus forcing steep discounts. Indeed, 85.1% of homes sold below their original list price, a share that has only marginally decreased by 0.1% from the prior period. Prices remain resilient despite this balance. The median closed price rose to $544,995, marking a 2.2% increase compared to the same window last year. This stability suggests that while buyers have more time to decide than in previous months, demand for well-priced homes in Blackhawk remains steady. The ALEX Intelligence estimate of this heat score reflects a market where negotiation is possible but value retention is strong. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=74
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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