Blackhawk: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power This Fall

Deal of the Week

20013 Crane Creek LOOP, Pflugerville TX 78660
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $475,000 20013 Crane Creek LOOP, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6757990 Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,074 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184140874/20013-Crane-Creek-LOOP-Pflugerville-TX Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $543,000 19712 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3656587 Listed at $534,855, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,005 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177252033/19712-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX Upper-middle quartile: $543,000 to $625,000 20416 Shellduck DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3066194 Listed at $599,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,638 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184259473/20416-Shellduck-DR-Pflugerville-TX Upper quartile: $625,000 and up 19725 Helens Catch DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #2845198 Listed at $629,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,864 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180722269/19725-Helens-Catch-DR-Pflugerville-TX

Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Blackhawk today? With the median closed sale price at $541,000 across 81 homes over the last six months, monthly payments are sensitive to every basis point. A standard 30-year fixed loan with 20% down on that median price results in a principal and interest payment of $2,973 per month. ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown scenarios to show how buyers can manage this rate environment. A 3-2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $826 compared to the standard rate. The total cost for this three-year buydown is $20,136, or 3.72% of the median sale price. A shorter 2-1 buydown costs $10,224 (1.89% of price) and lowers the first-year payment by $564. These figures are based on the median sale price of $541,000 and a 7.32% note rate from the week of October 22, 2026. While the median days on market has improved to 42 days compared to 88 days in the prior period, affordability remains the primary driver for transaction timing. Buyers should weigh the upfront cost of a buydown against their long-term holding plans and cash flow needs. ALEX Intelligence estimates are based on current rate data and do not constitute an appraisal or financial advice. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=81; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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