| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Blackhawk Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $475,000
20013 Crane Creek LOOP, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6757990
Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,074 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184140874/20013-Crane-Creek-LOOP-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $543,000
19712 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3656587
Listed at $534,855, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,005 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177252033/19712-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $543,000 to $625,000
20416 Shellduck DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3066194
Listed at $599,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,638 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184259473/20416-Shellduck-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $625,000 and up
19725 Helens Catch DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #2845198
Listed at $629,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,864 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180722269/19725-Helens-Catch-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 81 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 14.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $541,000 (up 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 42.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 89 homes for sale now, about 6.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Blackhawk today? The bottom quartile of the market shows a median price of $530,000 across 81 closed sales over the last six months. With current mortgage rates at 7.32% according to Freddie Mac, affordability depends heavily on how buyers structure their financing.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the payment impact for a typical entry-level purchase with a 20% down payment. At the median price of $541,000, the principal and interest payment is $2,973 per month. A 3-2-1 buydown could lower that initial payment to $2,147 in year one, saving $826 monthly, though it costs $20,136 upfront. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown offers a first-year payment of $2,409 for a cost of $10,224.
The market has seen 27 new construction closings in this window, suggesting active development is contributing to the entry-level inventory. While the median price per square foot sits at $191, the total entry-level threshold remains a key metric for buyers navigating higher interest costs. This data reflects the current reality for those seeking homes below the top 25% of prices in Blackhawk.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=81
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










