| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Blackhawk Market Heat Score: Speed and Price Signals
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $475,000
20013 Crane Creek LOOP, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #6757990
Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,074 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184140874/20013-Crane-Creek-LOOP-Pflugerville-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $475,000 to $543,000
19712 Judys VW, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3656587
Listed at $534,855, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,005 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177252033/19712-Judys-VW-Pflugerville-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $543,000 to $625,000
20416 Shellduck DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #3066194
Listed at $599,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,638 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184259473/20416-Shellduck-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Upper quartile: $625,000 and up
19725 Helens Catch DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #2845198
Listed at $629,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,864 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180722269/19725-Helens-Catch-DR-Pflugerville-TX
Key figures · Blackhawk · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 81 homes sold in Blackhawk in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 14.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $541,000 (up 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $191.
- Median days on market: 42.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 87 homes for sale now, about 6.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How fast is Blackhawk selling compared to last year? The market heat score for this master-planned community in Pflugerville reflects a distinct shift in buyer behavior and listing velocity over the past six months.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite Market Heat Score by weighting four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. This score aggregates data from 81 closed sales to provide a snapshot of current market conditions.
The most significant driver of this analysis is the dramatic acceleration in sales speed. Median days on market fell by 52.3% compared to the prior six-month period, dropping from 88 days to just 42 days across 81 transactions. This rapid turnover suggests strong demand relative to current supply. Simultaneously, the median sale-to-list ratio improved by 4.0 percentage points to 96.2%, indicating that homes are closing closer to their original asking prices than they did in the previous half-year.
Inventory remains a balancing factor with 6.37 months of stock available, which typically leans toward a buyer's market, yet the speed of transactions and improved price realization point to a more competitive environment for sellers than earlier in the year. The analysis reflects this dynamic tension between available supply and the quick pace at which qualified buyers are closing deals.
This analysis is based on Unlock MLS data for Blackhawk, covering 81 closed sales over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=81
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










