| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
ShadowGlen: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power Today
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-10
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $326,000
13612 Bullhorn Acacia PASS, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #7982306
Listed at $299,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,728 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187737929/13612-Bullhorn-Acacia-PASS-Manor-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $326,000 to $389,000
11701 Jackson Falls WAY, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #9980103
Listed at $334,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,142 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184635091/11701-Jackson-Falls-WAY-Manor-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $389,000 to $454,000
16825 Edwin Reinhardt DR, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #1237485
Listed at $440,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,694 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182888406/16825-Edwin-Reinhardt-DR-Manor-TX
Upper quartile: $454,000 and up
17305 Autumn Falls DR, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #4460940
Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,459 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189342237/17305-Autumn-Falls-DR-Manor-TX
Key figures · ShadowGlen · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 30 homes sold in ShadowGlen in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 31.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $403,500 (up 3.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $162.
- Median days on market: 58.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.0%.
- 27 homes for sale now, about 5.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.18% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in ShadowGlen today? With the median closed price at $403,500 across 30 sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, monthly payments are significantly higher than they were last year. A standard 30-year fixed loan at this rate on a typical home requires a principal and interest payment of $2,187 per month, assuming a 20% down payment.
ALEX Intelligence modeled the impact of common buydowns to show how buyers can manage these costs. A 3-2-1 buydown, which temporarily lowers the rate to 4.18% in year one, costs $14,928 upfront but saves a buyer $612 per month initially. A more modest 2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 5.18% in the first year for a cost of $7,584, saving $418 monthly during that period. These figures are estimates based on median sale prices and do not constitute appraisals or financial advice.
The market has responded to these rates with increased price sensitivity. While the median price rose 17.7% compared to the prior six-month period, it remains 3.3% higher than the same window last year. However, the share of homes selling below original list price jumped to 83.3%, up from 61.4% a year ago. Buyers are negotiating more aggressively as inventory levels adjust to current financing costs.
For those looking at ShadowGlen now, understanding the cost of rate buydowns is essential for comparing total acquisition costs against monthly cash flow needs. The data reflects a market where affordability is driven by both price and the structure of financing terms.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales (rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026), n=30; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Nov 5, 2026
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










