| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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ShadowGlen Inventory Signals a Balanced Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $328,000
17701 Owl Tree RD, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #2955591
Listed at $317,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,795 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178882549/17701-Owl-Tree-RD-Manor-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $328,000 to $392,000
13716 Sugar Bush PATH, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #8352997
Listed at $370,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178960281/13716-Sugar-Bush-PATH-Manor-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $392,000 to $457,000
16712 Rakesh WAY, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #7070422
Listed at $450,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,504 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179466010/16712-Rakesh-WAY-Manor-TX
Upper quartile: $457,000 and up
14404 Kira LN, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #5513651
Listed at $490,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,722 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182793087/14404-Kira-LN-Manor-TX
Key figures · ShadowGlen · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 36 homes sold in ShadowGlen in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 16.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $399,000 (unchanged on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $166.
- Median days on market: 28.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 31 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the ShadowGlen market shifting from a seller's advantage to a balance of power? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which currently stands at 4.77 months based on 31 active listings and 39 closed sales over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026.
This figure places ShadowGlen squarely in balanced market territory. A market is generally considered a seller's market when inventory falls below four months, indicating high demand relative to supply. Conversely, a buyer's market typically emerges when inventory exceeds six months, giving purchasers more leverage. At 4.77 months, the current supply suggests neither side holds a decisive advantage.
The data supports this equilibrium with mixed signals. While the median days on market has dropped significantly by 34.9% compared to the prior six-month period, falling from 43 days to 28 days, the inventory level remains steady. This indicates that homes are selling faster than before, yet new listings are entering the market at a pace that maintains the current stock levels.
The median close price for the period is $399,000 across 36 closed sales, matching the same window from the previous year despite a 16.2% increase over the prior six months. This stability in pricing alongside the inventory count confirms that the market is neither overheating nor cooling off rapidly. Buyers and sellers alike should expect a steady pace of transactions rather than the bidding wars or prolonged stagnation seen in extreme market conditions.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this classification by dividing the current active inventory by the average monthly sales rate derived from the trailing six-month data. This method provides a standardized gauge for market dynamics regardless of seasonal fluctuations.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=36
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










