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ShadowGlen: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power Today
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $328,000
17701 Owl Tree RD, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #2955591
Listed at $317,500, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,795 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178882549/17701-Owl-Tree-RD-Manor-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $328,000 to $392,000
13716 Sugar Bush PATH, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #8352997
Listed at $370,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178960281/13716-Sugar-Bush-PATH-Manor-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $392,000 to $457,000
16712 Rakesh WAY, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #7070422
Listed at $450,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,504 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179466010/16712-Rakesh-WAY-Manor-TX
Upper quartile: $457,000 and up
14404 Kira LN, Manor TX 78653 · MLS #5513651
Listed at $490,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,722 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182793087/14404-Kira-LN-Manor-TX
Key figures · ShadowGlen · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 36 homes sold in ShadowGlen in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 16.3% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $399,000 (unchanged on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $166.
- Median days on market: 28.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.2%.
- 30 homes for sale now, about 4.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in ShadowGlen today? With the median closed price at $399,000 across 36 sales over the last six months, monthly principal and interest payments sit at roughly $2,193 without any rate reduction.
ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown options to show how they shift cash flow. A 3-2-1 buydown costs $14,880 upfront but lowers the first-year payment by $610 per month and the second year by $417. A 2-1 buydown costs $7,560 and reduces payments by $417 in year one and $213 in year two. These figures assume a 20% down payment on the median price and are estimates based on current market rates, not appraisals.
The data shows that while prices have held steady compared to last year, the cost of borrowing has risen. Median days on market dropped 34.9% versus the prior six-month period, suggesting buyers who can secure financing are moving quickly. However, the share of homes selling below original list price remains high at 75%, indicating that negotiation leverage still exists for those who can manage their monthly costs.
For buyers weighing a buydown against a higher purchase price or a different neighborhood, understanding these payment shifts is essential. The median living area has grown to 2,543 square feet, offering more space as prices adjust to the current rate environment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=36; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










