Manchaca Market Recap: Sales Slow as Prices Dip in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 12900 Ben Milam DR, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #9526468 · Listed by Keller Williams Realty. ALEX valuation $464,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $392,000 12900 Ben Milam DR, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #9526468 Listed at $379,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,093 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187449538/12900-Ben-Milam-DR-Manchaca-TX Lower-middle quartile: $392,000 to $465,000 12605 Iron Bridge DR, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #3754363 Listed at $429,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,522 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177171843/12605-Iron-Bridge-DR-Manchaca-TX Upper-middle quartile: $465,000 to $586,000 13402 Ramrod DR, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #4909918 Listed at $475,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,861 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187599850/13402-Ramrod-DR-Manchaca-TX Upper quartile: $586,000 and up 12302 Bethel Church RD, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #8989534 Listed at $899,000, 2 bed, 1.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176113916/12302-Bethel-Church-RD-Manchaca-TX

Key figures · Manchaca · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

35 homes sold in Manchaca in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 7.9% on a year earlier).

Median net sale price: $441,850 (down 5.5% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $218.

Median days on market: 47.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.5%.

31 homes for sale now, about 5.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

The median home price in Manchaca dropped to $441,850 in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, down 11.6% from the prior six-month period. This figure represents 35 closed sales of single-family homes, with prices net of seller-paid concessions. While the median price per square foot rose slightly to $218.17 compared to last year, the overall market volume remains subdued. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the transaction data to determine that homes are taking longer to sell. The median days on market increased by 51.6% to 47 days compared to the prior six months, and is up 23.7% from the same window last year. This slowdown coincides with a shift in negotiation dynamics; 82.9% of homes sold below their original list price, a significant increase from the 62.5% seen in the previous period. Inventory levels have adjusted to this slower pace, with 31 active listings currently on the market. The data indicates a transition toward a more balanced environment as the months of inventory sits at 5.31. Although new construction activity was minimal with zero closed sales in this category during the window, the broader market shows resilience in price per square foot despite the drop in total median value. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.11% according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of November 12, 2026. Buyers utilizing a standard 3/2/1 buydown on a median-priced home could see monthly savings of up to $668 in the first year, though the total cost of such a buydown would be approximately $16,308. The market continues to reflect these financing conditions as buyers and sellers navigate the current economic landscape. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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