| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Crystal Falls: Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $525,000
2610 Raindance, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #5354899
Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,989 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186585263/2610-Raindance-Leander-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $525,000 to $704,000
2816 Homecoming, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #6606476
Listed at $525,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,786 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857925/2816-Homecoming-Leander-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $704,000 to $976,000
1825 Wolf Dancer, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #7114574
Listed at $839,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,603 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186797885/1825-Wolf-Dancer-Leander-TX
Upper quartile: $976,000 and up
2700 War Wagon WAY, Leander TX 78641 · MLS #8761202
Listed at $999,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,480 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186472491/2700-War-Wagon-WAY-Leander-TX
Key figures · Crystal Falls · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 67 homes sold in Crystal Falls in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 10.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $745,000 (up 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $225.
- Median days on market: 33.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 43 homes for sale now, about 3.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is Crystal Falls currently a buyer's market or a seller's market? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In the rolling six months ending Oct 31, 2026, Crystal Falls recorded 67 closed sales with 43 active homes on the market, resulting in 3.85 months of inventory.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this figure as a balanced market, hovering just below the traditional 4-month threshold often cited for a seller's advantage. This balance reflects a shift from the prior six-month period, where inventory stood higher and sales were slower. The median days on market has dropped significantly by 25% compared to the prior period, falling to 33 days, while the median close price rose 14.6% to $745,000 across 67 transactions.
Despite the rising prices and faster sales pace, the supply of homes remains sufficient for buyers to find options without immediate pressure. The market has not tipped decisively into a seller's territory where inventory drops below three months, nor has it become a buyer's market with excess supply exceeding six months. Buyers should note that while competition exists, the 3.85-month window suggests a stable environment where negotiation is still possible.
This analysis relies on Unlock MLS data for closed sales and active listings within Crystal Falls, a community in Leander. The classification of 3.85 months indicates a market where neither side holds overwhelming leverage, allowing for measured decision-making by both buyers and sellers.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=67
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










