Rough Hollow Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-19
Key figures · Rough Hollow · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 47 homes sold in Rough Hollow in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 23.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $990,000 (up 0.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $302.
- Median days on market: 44.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.0%.
- 27 homes for sale now, about 3.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Rough Hollow today? The bottom quartile of recent sales shows a median price of $685,000 across 12 transactions in the rolling six-month window. This figure represents the most affordable tier available in this lakefront community.
ALEX Intelligence applied an affordability index to these figures using current market rates. With a 7.32% mortgage rate from Freddie Mac and a standard 20% down payment, the monthly principal and interest on a $685,000 home is approximately $4,716. This calculation excludes taxes and insurance but highlights the baseline cost of entry.
The median price for all homes in Rough Hollow has risen to $990,000, up 21.5% from the prior six-month period. However, the entry-level segment remains distinct, with properties averaging 3,565 square feet. Buyers targeting this tier must navigate a market where 80.9% of homes sold below their original list price, indicating room for negotiation even at lower price points.
The median contract-to-close time is not available in this dataset, but the median days on market for all sales stands at 44 days. This suggests that while entry-level inventory moves, it competes with higher-priced listings for buyer attention. The data reflects a market where affordability is increasingly tied to finding properties within the bottom quartile rather than the median home.
This analysis uses a rolling six-month window of 47 closed sales to ensure statistical relevance for the entry-level segment.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=47 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




