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Lakeway and Bee Cave: New Listings Outpace Closings in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $618,000
15109 S Flamingo DR S, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #2266388
Listed at $465,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,292 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180627814/15109-S-Flamingo-DR-S-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $618,000 to $817,000
104 Morning Cloud ST, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #4445701
Listed at $625,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,628 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522708/104-Morning-Cloud-ST-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $817,000 to $1,180,000
17613 Chamoix DR, Austin TX 78738 · MLS #6620985
Listed at $849,045, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,782 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183517261/17613-Chamoix-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $1,180,000 and up
18700 Madrone Ranch Trail, Austin TX 78738 · MLS #7205481
Listed at $3,199,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 13,600 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1162190257/18700-Madrone-Ranch-Trail-Austin-TX
Key figures · Lakeway and Bee Cave · October 2026
- 63 homes sold in Lakeway and Bee Cave in October 2026 (down 26.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $860,000 (up 13.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $300.
- Median days on market: 57.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.4%.
- 434 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In October, Lakeway and Bee Cave saw a clear divergence between new supply and actual closings. New listings jumped to 118, up from 105 in September, while closed sales dropped to 63 from 91 the prior month. This gap signals that fresh inventory is entering the market faster than buyers are completing purchases.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new supply versus demand to quantify this shift. The ratio of new listings to closings has widened, suggesting a temporary accumulation of available homes even as prices continue to rise. Median close prices reached $860,000, a 2.6% increase from September and 13.2% higher than October 2025, despite the slower sales pace.
The supply gap is further highlighted by the median days on market, which extended to 57 days compared to 38 days in September. This indicates that while demand remains strong enough to push prices up, the influx of new listings is giving buyers more time to evaluate options. The market is balancing as sellers list at higher rates, yet closings remain below the recent monthly average.
This dynamic creates a unique environment where inventory grows faster than it depletes. Buyers may find more choices in the coming weeks, while sellers face increased competition for attention despite the rising median price point. The data reflects a market adjusting to new supply rather than a sudden shift in buyer sentiment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, October 2026, n=63 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










