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Lakeway and Bee Cave: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-01
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $620,000
15214 Nightingale LN, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #2264155
Listed at $585,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,674 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180019545/15214-Nightingale-LN-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $620,000 to $817,000
17609 Chamoix DR, Austin TX 78738 · MLS #1364952
Listed at $799,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,173 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1161579429/17609-Chamoix-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $817,000 to $1,175,000
1004 Linscomb DR, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #3359380
Listed at $825,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 3,947 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516826/1004-Linscomb-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $1,175,000 and up
15421 McCormick Vista DR, Austin TX 78734 · MLS #6622922
Listed at $1,549,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 5,841 sq ft. Listed 25% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 29% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178436944/15421-McCormick-Vista-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Lakeway and Bee Cave · October 2026
- 63 homes sold in Lakeway and Bee Cave in October 2026 (down 26.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $860,000 (up 13.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $300.
- Median days on market: 57.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.4%.
- 448 homes for sale now, about 4.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 93.4% list-to-sale price ratio mean for buyers and sellers in Lakeway and Bee Cave? This metric compares the final closing price to the original listing price, showing how much of the asking price homes actually fetch. In October, the median ratio rose to 0.934, up from 0.932 the prior month and 0.925 a year ago.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices across 63 closed sales to track this trend. While the median close price increased 2.6% to $860,000 compared to September, the ratio improvement suggests sellers are retaining more of their initial asking value than in previous months. The share of homes selling below their original list price also rose to 92.1%, indicating that even with higher ratios, most transactions still involve some negotiation from the top line.
The data shows a market where pricing discipline is paying off. With median days on market at 57 and a 13.2% year-over-year price increase, the region demonstrates resilience. However, the slight rise in the share of homes selling below list suggests that while prices are holding firm, few properties are commanding full original list value without adjustment.
This analysis relies on closed sales data from October 2026, providing a clear view of current market dynamics for those tracking price realization trends in this high-value area.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=63
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










