Lakeside at Tessera Market Heat Score: 35/100

Deal of the Week

8015 Purple Aster PASS, Lago Vista TX 78645
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $384,000 8015 Purple Aster PASS, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2342420 Listed at $334,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,395 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 1% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188658212/8015-Purple-Aster-PASS-Lago-Vista-TX Lower-middle quartile: $384,000 to $441,000 8502 Red Bottle Brush RD, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9637903 Listed at $439,950, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,846 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183456145/8502-Red-Bottle-Brush-RD-Lago-Vista-TX Upper-middle quartile: $441,000 to $549,000 8523 Pine Muhly DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #4460540 Listed at $499,950, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,814 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183454480/8523-Pine-Muhly-DR-Lago-Vista-TX Upper quartile: $549,000 and up 7801 Turnback Ledge TRL, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7495873 Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,004 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185525747/7801-Turnback-Ledge-TRL-Lago-Vista-TX

Key figures · Lakeside at Tessera · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

How does a market with 8.8 months of inventory feel for buyers and sellers? In Lakeside at Tessera, the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score sits at 35 out of 100, indicating a distinct shift toward buyer conditions over the past six months. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The data reveals significant softening compared to last year. Median closed prices fell 17.8% to $410,000 across 17 sales, while homes now sit on the market for an average of 131 days, a 35.1% increase from the same period last year. Although the median close-to-original list ratio improved slightly to 94%, nearly 82% of homes sold below their original asking price. Inventory has accumulated to 25 active listings, creating an 8.8-month supply that favors buyers in terms of selection and negotiation leverage. The heat score reflects this balance: high inventory and extended marketing times drag the index down, even as price cuts become slightly less aggressive than six months ago. This analysis is based on a rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026, covering single-family homes, condos, and townhomes. ALEX Intelligence calculates this score by normalizing each metric against historical baselines to produce a single indicator of market temperature. A score below 40 suggests ample choice for buyers and reduced urgency for sellers, while scores above 60 typically signal competitive conditions. In Lakeside at Tessera, the current reading confirms a market where patience is rewarded and pricing strategy remains critical. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=17
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov