| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lakeside at Tessera Market Heat Score: 35/100
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-08
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $384,000
8015 Purple Aster PASS, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2342420
Listed at $334,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,395 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188658212/8015-Purple-Aster-PASS-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $384,000 to $441,000
8502 Red Bottle Brush RD, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9637903
Listed at $439,950, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,846 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183456145/8502-Red-Bottle-Brush-RD-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $441,000 to $549,000
8523 Pine Muhly DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #4460540
Listed at $499,950, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,814 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183454480/8523-Pine-Muhly-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $549,000 and up
7801 Turnback Ledge TRL, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7495873
Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,004 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185525747/7801-Turnback-Ledge-TRL-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lakeside at Tessera · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 17 homes sold in Lakeside at Tessera in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 54.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $410,000 (down 17.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $183.
- Median days on market: 131.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.0%.
- 25 homes for sale now, about 8.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How does a market with 8.8 months of inventory feel for buyers and sellers? In Lakeside at Tessera, the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score sits at 35 out of 100, indicating a distinct shift toward buyer conditions over the past six months. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions.
The data reveals significant softening compared to last year. Median closed prices fell 17.8% to $410,000 across 17 sales, while homes now sit on the market for an average of 131 days, a 35.1% increase from the same period last year. Although the median close-to-original list ratio improved slightly to 94%, nearly 82% of homes sold below their original asking price.
Inventory has accumulated to 25 active listings, creating an 8.8-month supply that favors buyers in terms of selection and negotiation leverage. The heat score reflects this balance: high inventory and extended marketing times drag the index down, even as price cuts become slightly less aggressive than six months ago. This analysis is based on a rolling six-month window ending October 31, 2026, covering single-family homes, condos, and townhomes.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this score by normalizing each metric against historical baselines to produce a single indicator of market temperature. A score below 40 suggests ample choice for buyers and reduced urgency for sellers, while scores above 60 typically signal competitive conditions. In Lakeside at Tessera, the current reading confirms a market where patience is rewarded and pricing strategy remains critical.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=17
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










