| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Lakeside at Tessera: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $377,000
22108 Cross Timbers BND, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2866092
Listed at $330,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,306 sq ft. Listed 28% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 28% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183086813/22108-Cross-Timbers-BND-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $377,000 to $435,000
8008 Prairie Rye DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6766017
Listed at $409,999, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,496 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518056/8008-Prairie-Rye-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $435,000 to $517,000
8505 Pine Muhly DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #5040746
Listed at $489,950, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,482 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183474091/8505-Pine-Muhly-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $517,000 and up
7425 Desert Needle DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #3173097
Listed at $814,699, 5 bed, 4 bath, 4,261 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182963913/7425-Desert-Needle-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lakeside at Tessera · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 18 homes sold in Lakeside at Tessera in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 45.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $415,000 (down 17.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $176.
- Median days on market: 140.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.2%.
- 25 homes for sale now, about 8.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Lakeside at Tessera, the gap between asking and selling prices has narrowed significantly over the past half-year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed 18 closed sales to determine how closely final prices matched original list prices. The median close-to-original list ratio stood at 92.2%, meaning homes sold for an average of 7.8% less than their initial asking price.
This figure represents a notable shift from the prior six-month period, when the ratio was just 82%. While the current market still sees most sales below the original list price, the trend indicates that sellers are receiving offers closer to their initial expectations compared to earlier in the year. The median sale price for these properties settled at $415,000, down from $449,950 in the previous window.
The data also shows that 83.3% of homes sold below their original list price during this period, a slight improvement over the 95.7% seen previously. This suggests that while price reductions remain common, the market is stabilizing as buyers and sellers find more alignment on value. The median price per square foot remained steady at $176, indicating that the reduction in overall prices was driven by lower sale-to-list ratios rather than a drop in unit value.
These figures are based on 18 closed transactions over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. The analysis reflects actual market outcomes for this specific community within the Unlock MLS system.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=18
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










