| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Lago Vista Market Heat Score: October 2026 Analysis
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-10
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $340,000
20102 Lee LN, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #1727523
Listed at $325,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,713 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186988376/20102-Lee-LN-Lago-Vista-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $340,000 to $415,000
2701 Warren CV, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6269318
Listed at $349,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,820 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186342919/2701-Warren-CV-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $415,000 to $600,000
7717 Pace Ravine DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #8505021
Listed at $449,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,847 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187824913/7717-Pace-Ravine-DR-Lago-Vista-TX
Upper quartile: $600,000 and up
6716 Liberty Grotto CT, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9096659
Listed at $799,900, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,537 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1162573856/6716-Liberty-Grotto-CT-Lago-Vista-TX
Key figures · Lago Vista · October 2026
- 27 homes sold in Lago Vista in October 2026 (down 3.6% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $393,500 (up 4.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $201.
- Median days on market: 59.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.2%.
- 200 homes for sale now, about 7.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a market heat score of 58 mean for buyers and sellers in Lago Vista? This composite index, calculated by ALEX Intelligence using median days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions, indicates a balanced market leaning slightly toward buyers. The score ranges from 0 to 100, with higher numbers signaling faster sales and stronger pricing power.
In October 2026, the local market showed significant momentum compared to the prior month. Closed sales surged by 170% with 27 homes selling, while the median close price rose 4.7% to $393,500 across those transactions. The time it took to sell a home dropped sharply, with median days on market falling 24.4% to 59 days compared to September. Homes also commanded better prices relative to their original list, closing at 95.2% of the asking price, a 2.6% improvement over the previous month.
Despite this activity, inventory remains elevated with 7.1 months of supply on hand, suggesting buyers still have options. The market is not yet in a seller's territory, but the rapid increase in sales volume and improved pricing ratios signal that demand is picking up. This data reflects a shift from the slower pace seen in September, where prices dipped and sales stalled.
The ALEX Intelligence model weighs these factors to produce a single metric for quick assessment. While the score of 58 suggests a balanced environment, the trend lines show improving conditions for sellers as homes move faster and closer to list price. This analysis is based on 27 closed sales in October, providing a snapshot of current market dynamics without predicting future price movements.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=27
Cover photo: Warbler Vista, Lago Vista by Toniklemm, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










