Lago Vista: New Listings Outpace Closings in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 5302 Thunderbird ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #4734606 · Listed by Redfin Corporation. ALEX valuation $393,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 5302 Thunderbird ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #4734606 Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,813 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180661963/5302-Thunderbird-ST-Lago-Vista-TX 2. 20701 Deep CRK, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6973393 Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,727 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179193471/20701-Deep-CRK-Lago-Vista-TX 3. 8002 Autumn Moor BND, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #9898565 Listed at $299,999, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,766 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184954127/8002-Autumn-Moor-BND-Lago-Vista-TX 4. 4302 Liberty LN, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #1536744 Listed at $349,999, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,813 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182515211/4302-Liberty-LN-Lago-Vista-TX 5. 2502 Truman DR, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #7365392 Listed at $429,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,004 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1162142757/2502-Truman-DR-Lago-Vista-TX

Thirty-nine new listings hit the Lago Vista market in September while just 11 homes closed, creating a clear supply gap where fresh inventory is outpacing sales. This dynamic means active stock is growing faster than demand can absorb it, a shift from the tighter balance seen in prior months. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this imbalance. The 39 new listings represent a significant increase compared to the 20 closings recorded in August and the 15 new listings from September 2025. When supply growth exceeds absorption, buyers gain more options and sellers face increased competition for attention. The median sale price of $389,000 across these 11 closed sales reflects this environment, down 7.4% from August. With 208 active homes currently listed, the market is accumulating inventory faster than it is being sold. This divergence between new listings and closings suggests a transition toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable condition as the year progresses. The data covers all unlocked MLS activity for the city of Lago Vista during the September 2026 reporting window. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951