Jonestown Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

What does a median home price of $449,000 across 49 closed sales tell us about the current Jonestown market? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score calculates a composite index from 0 to 100 based on days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions. For Jonestown, the score is 42 out of 100, indicating a distinct shift toward buyer conditions over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. The primary driver of this score is the supply side. With 77 active listings against 49 closed sales in the period, the market holds 9.43 months of inventory. This exceeds the six-month threshold typically required for a balanced market. Simultaneously, homes are spending an average of 41 days on the market, down from 61 days in the prior six-month window, yet still slower than the same period last year when it took 69 days. Price dynamics also heavily influence this score. The median sale price has dropped 37.3% compared to the prior six months and is 42.1% lower than the same period a year ago. While homes are selling for 92.6% of their original list price, nearly 86% of sales closed below the initial asking price. These factors combined—high inventory, significant price reductions, and slower absorption rates—result in a heat score that reflects a market where buyers have substantial leverage. The ALEX Intelligence estimate is based on a composite of these four metrics: months of inventory, median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, and the share of listings with price cuts. This data-driven approach provides an objective view of market momentum without relying on subjective sentiment. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog