| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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West Austin Seasonality: When Prices Peak and Sales Surge
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $788,000
8110 Ranch Road 2222 RD # 33, Austin TX 78730 · MLS #6524661
Listed at $600,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,133 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520909/8110-Ranch-Road-2222-RD-33-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $788,000 to $1,199,000
12017 Portobella DR, Austin TX 78732 · MLS #7663377
Listed at $999,500, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,571 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179719263/12017-Portobella-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $1,199,000 to $1,875,000
2701 & 2703 De Soto DR, Austin TX 78733 · MLS #2838128
Listed at $1,495,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,182 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177348486/2701-2703-De-Soto-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $1,875,000 and up
2901 Demona DR, Austin TX 78733 · MLS #6982111
Listed at $2,049,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 6,563 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522478/2901-Demona-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · West Austin · September 2026
- 58 homes sold in West Austin in September 2026 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $1,127,500 (up 12.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $427.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.8%.
- 272 homes for sale now, about 3.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
West Austin home sales follow a distinct seasonal rhythm over the last two years, with activity and pricing peaking in the warmer months. ALEX Intelligence analyzed 24 months of closed sales data to identify the optimal time for listing or buying in this market.
The data reveals that late spring and early summer consistently deliver the highest volume. In June 2026, 84 homes closed at a median price of $1,350,000, while May saw 80 sales at $1,199,600. These months outpace the rest of the year in both transaction count and price performance. Conversely, winter months show lower activity; January 2026 recorded only 25 closed sales, the lowest volume in the dataset.
Pricing trends also shift with the seasons. The median sale price reached its highest point in August 2025 at $1,475,000, followed closely by June 2026 at $1,350,000. September 2026 saw a median price of $1,127,500 across 58 sales, which is 12.8% higher than the same month last year but down 18.0% from August. This fluctuation suggests that while summer remains the peak season for both volume and price, September offers a transition period where prices stabilize after the summer high.
For sellers, the data indicates that listing in May or June maximizes exposure to the highest buyer activity. Buyers looking for potential negotiation leverage might find more inventory and slightly lower median prices during the slower winter months, though January 2026 saw a sharp drop in volume that could limit selection. The seasonal decomposition confirms that timing your transaction around these peaks can significantly impact market outcomes.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=58
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










