Southwest Austin Inventory Signals Buyer Leverage in October

Deal of the Week

8509 Copano DR, Austin TX 78749
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $446,000 8509 Copano DR, Austin TX 78749 · MLS #8810650 Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,071 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 33% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521879/8509-Copano-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $446,000 to $615,000 11425 Sabinal Mesa DR, Austin TX 78739 · MLS #5310902 Listed at $570,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,431 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183999357/11425-Sabinal-Mesa-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $615,000 to $830,000 3105 Sesbania DR, Austin TX 78748 · MLS #9239832 Listed at $635,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186028784/3105-Sesbania-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $830,000 and up 5801 Leckrone CV, Austin TX 78735 · MLS #6490399 Listed at $899,900, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,540 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180868107/5801-Leckrone-CV-Austin-TX

Key figures · Southwest Austin · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is the market tipping toward buyers? In Southwest Austin, the current inventory level sits at 2.9 months based on 124 closed sales in October 2026. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all currently active listings at the current sales pace. Generally, a market with less than six months of inventory is considered a seller's market, while more than six months favors buyers. At 2.9 months, supply remains tight but has softened compared to previous peaks. ALEX Intelligence analyzes this metric alongside price trends to determine market conditions. The median close price held steady at $580,000, matching the same month last year despite an 8.8% drop from September. This stability suggests that while demand may have cooled slightly, pricing remains resilient. Homes sold for 95.5% of their original list price on average, a slight improvement over the prior month but still below the peak levels seen in previous years. The days on market remained flat at 32 days compared to September, yet this is a significant 30.4% reduction from the same time last year when homes took 46 days to sell. Faster sales combined with stable prices indicate that well-priced properties are still moving quickly, even as the overall inventory level suggests a gradual shift toward a more balanced environment. Buyers may find slightly more negotiating power now than earlier in the year, but competition for prime listings persists. https://alex.realestate Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=124
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov