Southwest Austin: How List Prices Compare to Sells in October

Deal of the Week

8509 Copano DR, Austin TX 78749
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $446,000 8509 Copano DR, Austin TX 78749 · MLS #8810650 Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,071 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 33% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521879/8509-Copano-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $446,000 to $615,000 11425 Sabinal Mesa DR, Austin TX 78739 · MLS #5310902 Listed at $570,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,431 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183999357/11425-Sabinal-Mesa-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $615,000 to $830,000 3105 Sesbania DR, Austin TX 78748 · MLS #9239832 Listed at $635,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186028784/3105-Sesbania-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $830,000 and up 5801 Leckrone CV, Austin TX 78735 · MLS #6490399 Listed at $899,900, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,540 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180868107/5801-Leckrone-CV-Austin-TX

Key figures · Southwest Austin · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Southwest Austin, the gap between asking and selling prices narrowed slightly in October. Across 123 closed sales, homes sold for a median of $580,000, which is 95.5% of the original list price. This represents a 0.3% increase compared to September's ratio of 95.2%, and a 1.9% improvement over the same month last year when homes sold for 93.7% of the list. The list-to-sale price ratio measures how much of the original asking price buyers ultimately paid. A higher ratio indicates stronger demand or better pricing strategy by sellers, while a lower ratio suggests more negotiation room for buyers. In this market, nearly 81% of homes sold below their original list price, though that share has decreased slightly from September. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend. While median prices dropped 8.8% from September to $580,000, the ability of sellers to retain more of their asking price has improved compared to last year. The median price per square foot also declined slightly by 0.4% month-over-month to $262, but remains 2.2% lower than October 2025 levels. With 123 sales recorded this month, the data provides a clear view of current negotiation dynamics. Buyers and sellers are finding a balance where prices are adjusting downward from summer peaks, yet the final sale price is holding closer to the initial list than it was twelve months ago. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=123
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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