Southeast Austin Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Is the Southeast Austin market cooling or simply finding its rhythm? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for October 2026 stands at 58 out of 100, a composite index derived from median days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reduction activity. This score reflects a neighborhood in transition where speed is returning but prices are softening. Median days on market dropped to 55 days, down 19.1% from the prior month and 36.8% lower than last October. Homes are selling faster now, yet the median close price of $373,865 fell 0.2% from September and sits 9.6% below the same time last year. The share of homes closing below original list price remains high at 83.1%, though that figure improved slightly compared to the prior period. Inventory levels show 4.75 months of supply, indicating a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold absolute leverage. While new construction activity continues with 15 closed sales this month, the overall volume of 59 transactions is down from the 70 closings seen in September. The data suggests that while demand is picking up pace, price expectations are adjusting to current economic conditions. ALEX Intelligence calculates this heat score by weighting speed of sale, pricing power, and supply constraints equally to provide a single metric for market temperature. This estimate is not an appraisal but a statistical summary of recent activity in the area. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog