| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Southeast Austin Inventory Signals a Balanced Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $329,000
10537 Steinbeck DR, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #1014060
Listed at $284,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,650 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 42% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182595224/10537-Steinbeck-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $329,000 to $375,000
5406 S Hearsey DR, Austin TX 78744 · MLS #4890212
Listed at $331,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,170 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 48% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516997/5406-S-Hearsey-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $485,000
11721 Domenico CV, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #9147330
Listed at $385,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,051 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1155205141/11721-Domenico-CV-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $485,000 and up
9204 Dingo DR, Austin TX 78744 · MLS #5402365
Listed at $824,900, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,715 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186446463/9204-Dingo-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Southeast Austin · September 2026
- 77 homes sold in Southeast Austin in September 2026 (down 10.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $369,990 (up 2.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $206.
- Median days on market: 65.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.6%.
- 374 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Southeast Austin market tipping toward buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which currently stands at 4.66 months based on 374 active listings and 77 closed sales in September 2026. This figure is calculated by dividing the current active inventory by the monthly closing rate derived from the trailing 12-month data.
In real estate analytics, a market is generally considered balanced when inventory falls between 4 and 6 months. A reading below 4 months typically indicates a seller's market with rapid sales, while anything above 6 months suggests a buyer's market where properties linger. At 4.66 months, Southeast Austin occupies the middle ground, offering neither extreme scarcity nor a glut of unsold homes.
This balance is reflected in the pricing dynamics as well. The median close price of $369,990 represents a 2.9% increase compared to September 2025, while the median days on market dropped to 65 days from 70 days last year. These figures suggest steady demand without the frantic bidding wars seen in tighter markets. Buyers have time to evaluate options, yet sellers are still achieving prices close to their original listings, with a close-to-original list ratio of 93.6%.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as balanced, providing a stable environment for both parties. The data indicates that while inventory has not flooded the sector, it is sufficient to prevent aggressive price escalation, allowing transactions to proceed at a measured pace.
URL: https://alex.realestate/market-analysis/southeast-austin
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=77
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










