South Central Austin Market Heat Score for October

Deal of the Week

408 Blueberry HL, Austin TX 78745
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $400,000 408 Blueberry HL, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #7428270 Listed at $325,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 988 sq ft. Listed 23% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 28% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183523411/408-Blueberry-HL-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $400,000 to $535,000 1108 Gobi DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #1058073 Listed at $430,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,994 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187545423/1108-Gobi-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $535,000 to $865,000 2907 Cameron LOOP, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #8746853 Listed at $700,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,616 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187677452/2907-Cameron-LOOP-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $865,000 and up 512 Sunny LN # B, Austin TX 78704 · MLS #6009557 Listed at $999,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,840 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188317111/512-Sunny-LN-B-Austin-TX

Key figures · South Central Austin · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

How fast is the South Central Austin market moving compared to last year? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for October 2026 stands at 58 out of 100, indicating a balanced environment that leans slightly toward buyers. This composite index blends four key metrics: days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In October, homes sold significantly faster than in the same month a year ago, with median days on market dropping 59.5% to just 32 days. However, pricing power has softened; the median close price fell 24.8% year-over-year to $503,700, and the share of homes selling below original list price rose to 87.9%. Inventory remains elevated with 5.19 months of supply, suggesting a steady pace rather than a frenzy. The ALEX Intelligence model weighs these factors equally to generate the score. While the speed of sales has improved dramatically compared to last October, the continued decline in median prices and high inventory levels prevent the market from reaching "hot" territory. For buyers, this balance offers more negotiation room; for sellers, it signals a need to price competitively to move quickly. The data reflects 66 closed sales in October 2026, with a median price of $503,700 and a median price per square foot of $356.09. Current mortgage rates are 7.18% as of the week of November 5, 2026. ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=66
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov