South Central Austin: New Listings Outpace Closings in September

Deal of the Week

5704 Cedardale DR, Austin TX 78745
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $400,000 5704 Cedardale DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #1431286 Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 962 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173885497/5704-Cedardale-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $400,000 to $540,000 708 Marc Taylor DR, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #5200252 Listed at $464,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,875 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185968047/708-Marc-Taylor-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $540,000 to $875,000 5004 Pack Saddle PASS, Austin TX 78745 · MLS #6034874 Listed at $635,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,342 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185555569/5004-Pack-Saddle-PASS-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $875,000 and up 915 Garner Ave, Austin TX 78704 · MLS #1082332 Listed at $1,195,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,198 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183459636/915-Garner-Ave-Austin-TX

Key figures · South Central Austin · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

South Central Austin saw a distinct shift in supply dynamics this month as 165 new listings entered the market while only 94 homes closed. This divergence between fresh inventory and finalized sales creates a widening gap that is reshaping local conditions. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this supply gap. The region received significantly more new listings than it absorbed through closed sales, a notable increase from the prior month where 135 new listings met 97 closings. This pattern suggests that while buyer demand remains steady with 94 transactions, seller activity has surged, potentially easing some of the previous tightness. The median home size also adjusted during this period, dropping to 1,451 square feet from 1,510 square feet in August, a 3.9% decrease month-over-month. Despite the influx of new supply, prices softened, with the median close price falling 6.5% to $486,095 compared to the prior month. The market is currently balancing on this new equilibrium where fresh inventory is outpacing the rate at which homes are selling. This data reflects a transition phase where increased listing activity is meeting consistent closing volume, offering more options for buyers without triggering a price collapse. The supply gap remains a key indicator for how quickly the market will absorb these new entries in the coming months. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS, September 2026, n=94 closed sales and n=165 new listings
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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