Northwest Austin October Market Pulse: Prices Drop 13.3%

Deal of the Week

12911 Quinn TRL, Austin TX 78727
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $420,000 12911 Quinn TRL, Austin TX 78727 · MLS #5583633 Listed at $375,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,479 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186940587/12911-Quinn-TRL-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $420,000 to $560,000 4601 Tamarack TRL, Austin TX 78727 · MLS #4614053 Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,556 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183329633/4601-Tamarack-TRL-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $560,000 to $758,000 4804 Duval RD # 51, Austin TX 78727 · MLS #5214039 Listed at $560,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,124 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189239230/4804-Duval-RD-51-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $758,000 and up 8204 Texas Plume RD, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #2712934 Listed at $1,199,000, 6 bed, 4 bath, 4,490 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186827153/8204-Texas-Plume-RD-Austin-TX

Key figures · Northwest Austin · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does a 13.3% drop in median price mean for Northwest Austin buyers and sellers? In October 2026, the median close price settled at $540,512 across 76 closed sales, down from $623,500 in September. This marks a significant cooling after a summer peak, with total sales volume also falling 15.6% compared to the prior month. The market is showing signs of adjustment as homes take longer to sell relative to last year, though the pace has slightly accelerated from the previous month. The median days on market dropped to 50 days, down 3.8% from September but still 10.7% faster than October 2025. Sellers are accepting less than their original asking price more frequently; 87.7% of homes sold below list, a 5.5% increase in frequency compared to the prior month. Inventory remains tight with 431 active listings, supporting a market that is neither fully buyer nor seller dominated. The median price per square foot also declined to $252.01, reflecting both lower sale prices and a shift toward smaller homes on average. With mortgage rates at 7.11% as of mid-November, affordability remains a key factor for buyers navigating this transition period. ALEX Intelligence analyzes these KPIs to track the immediate shifts in supply and demand dynamics for single-family homes in Northwest Austin. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=76
Cover photo: New home in northwest Austin, Texas by Matthew Rutledge from Seattle, WA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov