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Northwest Austin: Is the Market Balanced in October?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $420,000
12517 Limerick Ave, Austin TX 78727 · MLS #9953975
Listed at $250,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,007 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186180711/12517-Limerick-Ave-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $420,000 to $555,000
12901 Partridge Bend DR, Austin TX 78729 · MLS #5521780
Listed at $499,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,436 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184870996/12901-Partridge-Bend-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $555,000 to $760,000
10917 Hidden Caves # 31, Austin TX 78726 · MLS #6853050
Listed at $620,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,515 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517112/10917-Hidden-Caves-31-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $760,000 and up
8804 Mountain Path CIR, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #1369227
Listed at $760,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184141957/8804-Mountain-Path-CIR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Northwest Austin · October 2026
- 88 homes sold in Northwest Austin in October 2026 (down 26.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $518,250 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $253.
- Median days on market: 52.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.8%.
- 432 homes for sale now, about 3.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Northwest Austin housing market currently favoring buyers or sellers? With 3.27 months of inventory available based on 88 closed sales in October, the area sits firmly in balanced territory. This figure is calculated by dividing the active listings today by the monthly closing rate over the trailing period. A market typically shifts toward buyer preference when inventory exceeds six months and seller dominance appears below four months; Northwest Austin currently rests near the lower threshold of balance.
The supply gap remains tight compared to historical norms, yet pricing pressure has eased. The median closed price settled at $518,250, a 9.9% decrease from September's $575,000 and a 1.3% drop year-over-year. Homes spent an average of 52 days on the market, up 8.3% from the prior month and 15.6% longer than last October. This extended timeline suggests buyers have more time to evaluate options without immediate pressure.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between active inventory and sales velocity to determine this classification. While the number of homes sold dropped 23.5% from September, the ratio of available stock to demand indicates neither side holds a decisive advantage. Buyers can expect competitive negotiation power, while sellers must price realistically to move properties within the current 52-day average window.
The market remains stable with no extreme shifts toward either side. Inventory levels are sufficient to prevent bidding wars but low enough to maintain price stability relative to the broader region.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=88
Cover photo: New home in northwest Austin, Texas by Matthew Rutledge from Seattle, WA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










