| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Northwest Austin Seasonality: Best Month to List?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $421,000
12903 Steeple Chase DR, Austin TX 78729 · MLS #7776439
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,740 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780416/12903-Steeple-Chase-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $421,000 to $556,000
5107 McKittrick Canyon DR, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #1105833
Listed at $439,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,874 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182965400/5107-McKittrick-Canyon-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $556,000 to $759,000
16809 Cypress Landing CV, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8738728
Listed at $565,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,503 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185580505/16809-Cypress-Landing-CV-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $759,000 and up
9008 Harper Rae DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #5517796
Listed at $1,299,900, 6 bed, 5.5 bath, 5,028 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518599/9008-Harper-Rae-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Northwest Austin · September 2026
- 114 homes sold in Northwest Austin in September 2026 (up 3.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $573,500 (up 15.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $257.
- Median days on market: 47.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.8%.
- 444 homes for sale now, about 3.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What is the best time to list a home in Northwest Austin? A look at 24 months of closed sales reveals a distinct seasonal pattern where activity and prices fluctuate predictably throughout the year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed monthly trends from October 2024 through September 2026 to identify the peak window for sellers. The data shows that late spring and early summer consistently drive the highest volume. May 2026 saw the most activity with 178 closed sales, followed closely by April with 158. During these months, median prices also tend to reach their annual highs, peaking at $615,000 in June 2026.
Conversely, late summer and early autumn often see a cooling period. September 2026 recorded only 114 closed sales, the lowest volume since January, with median prices dipping slightly to $573,500. This drop of 0.7% from August aligns with the typical post-summer slowdown. However, year-over-year comparisons show resilience; September sales were up 3.6% compared to the previous year, and median prices rose 15.9%.
For sellers, the data suggests that listing in May or June offers the best chance for maximum exposure and top dollar. Buyers looking for less competition might find better negotiating leverage during the slower months of January or September. While market conditions vary, this seasonal decomposition provides a clear roadmap for timing a transaction in Northwest Austin.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=114
Cover photo: New home in northwest Austin, Texas by Matthew Rutledge from Seattle, WA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










