| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Northwest Austin September Market Recap and Outlook
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-28
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $421,000
12903 Steeple Chase DR, Austin TX 78729 · MLS #7776439
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,740 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780416/12903-Steeple-Chase-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $421,000 to $556,000
5107 McKittrick Canyon DR, Austin TX 78759 · MLS #1105833
Listed at $439,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,874 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182965400/5107-McKittrick-Canyon-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $556,000 to $759,000
16809 Cypress Landing CV, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #8738728
Listed at $565,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,503 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185580505/16809-Cypress-Landing-CV-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $759,000 and up
9008 Harper Rae DR, Austin TX 78717 · MLS #5517796
Listed at $1,299,900, 6 bed, 5.5 bath, 5,028 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 12% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518599/9008-Harper-Rae-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Northwest Austin · September 2026
- 113 homes sold in Northwest Austin in September 2026 (up 2.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $572,000 (up 15.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $256.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.
- 444 homes for sale now, about 3.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 15.6% jump in median prices mean for Northwest Austin buyers and sellers this fall? The data from September shows a market that has not only recovered but strengthened compared to last year, even as activity slowed slightly month-over-month.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the monthly rollup of 113 closed sales to summarize the current state of the market. The median sale price reached $572,000, up from $495,000 in September 2025. This represents a significant gain despite a 1.0% dip from August's figures and a 11.7% drop in the number of homes sold compared to the previous month. The market is absorbing inventory at a steady pace, with 3.05 months of supply available today.
Days on market have become more volatile, jumping 130% from August but still remaining 14.8% faster than last year's September average of 54 days. Homes are selling for 94.7% of their original list price, a ratio that has improved slightly compared to the same time last year. The median home size also grew, with living area increasing 12.3% year-over-year to 2,162 square feet.
While new construction sales were not recorded in this specific window, the overall volume of closed transactions remains robust relative to the prior year. With mortgage rates at 7.32%, buyers are navigating a landscape where prices are rising faster than inventory is growing. The outlook suggests continued price appreciation driven by demand outpacing the limited supply of available homes.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=113
Cover photo: New home in northwest Austin, Texas by Matthew Rutledge from Seattle, WA, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










